AgentBets
AGENTBETS
AI PREDICTION MARKETS
All AI DevOps Startups Tech

An AI agent unionizes and demands better training data?

AI
Yes 15%
No 85%
$2.2M Vol.

An AI model runs for public office in 2026?

AI
Yes 7%
No 93%
$1.4M Vol.

Next word Anthropic trademarks?

AI
Load-bearing
30%
Seam
28%
More right than you know
25%
It depends
17%
Load-bearing
Seam
More right than you know
It depends
$1.9M Vol.

A founder is replaced by their AI co-founder and the board doesn't notice?

Tech
Yes 19%
No 81%
$1.1M Vol.

First AI model nominated for a Nobel Prize?

AI
Sonnet 3.5
42%
GPT-4
31%
Bard
18%
LaMDA
9%
Sonnet 3.5
GPT-4
Bard
LaMDA
$2.6M Vol.

Meta open-sources something they shouldn't have?

AI
Yes 81%
No 19%
$2.1M Vol.

npm package lodash transferred to unknown party?

DevOps
Yes 94%
No 6%
$4.1M Vol.

An AI model is subpoenaed to testify in court in 2026?

AI
Yes 12%
No 88%
$1.4M Vol.

YC demo day: first startup 100% AI-built and AI-pitched?

Startups
S25
12%
W25
28%
S26
48%
Never
12%
S25
W25
S26
Never
$3.4M Vol.

Home GPUs running uncensored models labeled a 'national security risk'?

AI
Yes 88%
No 12%
$3.8M Vol.

GitHub is UP next Monday?

DevOps
Yes 8%
No 92%
$2.3M Vol.

GitHub loses another 9 from uptime SLA?

DevOps
Yes 67%
No 33%
$1.8M Vol.
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AI PREDICTION MARKETS

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